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Atrial fibrillation in the Indigenous populations of Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and the United States: a systematic scoping review



The epidemiology of atrial fibrillation (AF) among Indigenous minorities in affluent countries is poorly delineated, despite the high cardiovascular disease burden in these populations. We undertook a systematic scoping review examining the epidemiology of AF in the Indigenous populations of Australia, Canada, New Zealand (NZ) and the United States (US).


PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE and CINAHL-Plus databases were systematically searched in May 2014. Supplementary full-text searches of Google Scholar and government website searches were also undertaken.


Key findings from 27 publications with diverse aims and methods were included. Small studies from Canada and NZ suggest higher AF prevalence in Indigenous than other populations. However, this was not reflected in a large sample of US male military veterans. No data were identified on community-based incidence rates of AF in Indigenous populations. Australian and Canadian studies indicate higher first-ever and overall AF hospitalisation rates among Indigenous than other populations, at younger ages and with more comorbidity. Studies in stroke, heart failure and other clinical groups demonstrate AF as a common comorbidity, with AF possibly more prevalent at younger ages in Indigenous people. Indigenous patients have similar early post-hospitalisation adjusted mortality but higher 1-year risk-adjusted mortality than non-Indigenous patients.


No clear epidemiological pattern of AF frequency across the considered Indigenous populations emerges from the limited available evidence. AF should be included in key conditions reported in national surveillance reports, although Indigenous identifiers are required in administrative data from Canada and the US. Sufficiently powered, community-based studies of AF epidemiology in diverse Indigenous populations are needed.

Peer Review reports


Indigenous peoples living in affluent countries have poor health profiles and considerably diminished life expectancies compared with their non-Indigenous counterparts [13]. Although the Indigenous populations of Australia, Canada, New Zealand (NZ) and the United States (US) are highly diverse [4], they ‘share similar historical experiences, socioeconomic disadvantage, and health status’ [5]. As such, these four populations ‘are often seen as natural comparators in terms of Indigenous wellbeing’ [6] in health research literature [79] and elsewhere [10]. An excess burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVD), typically presenting at a younger age, predominates the gap in their health outcomes [11, 12].

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia, is increasing in prevalence and incidence globally [1315]. Prevalence increases progressively with age, and is higher among men than women [16]. AF causes serious complications, notably heart failure and thromboembolic sequelae such as stroke [1719], with stroke prevention a cornerstone of management [20]. AF is associated with a substantial increase in overall mortality [21], although the direct causality of this association remains contentious [22].

AF characteristically accompanies the spectrum of common CVDs disproportionately afflicting Indigenous populations [11, 23], so this arrhythmia could be predicted to affect them with increased frequency. However, many large studies and recent international reviews of AF epidemiology notably lack data on Indigenous populations [1315, 24]. This omission may be related to the low proportion of Indigenous people in most jurisdictions, and to inadequate documentation of Indigenous identity in administrative data. This paper reports a scoping review mapping the current knowledge of AF epidemiology in the Indigenous populations of Australia, Canada, NZ and the US.


Information sources and search strategy

Indigenous populations considered were those of Australia (Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples), NZ (Māori), Canada (Aboriginal peoples comprising First Nations, Métis, and Inuit), and the US (Native American, Native Alaskan, and Native Hawaiian).

The multifaceted search strategy incorporated both journal publications and ‘grey’ literature (including conference abstracts). An electronic database search incorporating PubMed, Scopus, EMBASE and CINAHL-Plus was conducted in January 2014 and updated in May 2014. Records retrieved were those containing terms related to both Indigenous populations and atrial fibrillation (Additional file 1: Table S1), with an equivalent search conducted in each database. To maximise identification of peer-reviewed papers, the standard multi-database search was supplemented by a series of full-text journal article searches using Google Scholar. In view of the limited Boolean searching functionality of Google, a series of complementary simple searches was done to maximise identification of pertinent references. In these searches (23/05/2014), using the ‘Sort by relevance’ function, the phrase-forced term “atrial fibrillation” was searched separately in combination with each of the following terms: aboriginal, maori, “native american”, “first nations”, metis, inuit and indigenous. The full-text of the first 50 references retrieved (or all references if <50 were retrieved) in each of these searches was reviewed, except that in the final search (“indigenous” and “atrial fibrillation”), the first 100 references were reviewed. A second series of Google scholar searches date-restricted to 2014 was also done (27/05/2014), to maximise retrieval of recent publications that may have been missed in the systematic multi-database search.

The grey literature was searched using Google as well as applicable government departmental websites from each country. Additionally, advice was sought on data sources that may have been overlooked, by means of direct email contact with relevant experts in NZ and Canada, in order to complement the authors’ pre-existing knowledge of Australian administrative health data collections.

The systematic searches were supplemented by citation screening of retrieved records and the addition of publications otherwise known to the authors.

Study selection and inclusion criteria

Records retrieved from the searches were catalogued in EndNote®. Duplicates were removed by automation supplemented with manual checking.

Publications considered for inclusion were those containing original epidemiologic or health services data on AF in the designated Indigenous populations. ‘Epidemiological data’ was broadly defined to include metrics such as incidence, prevalence, aetiology, risk factors and health outcomes (including mortality). Inclusion was date-restricted to articles published from 1980 onwards. There was no formal restriction by language of publication. However, all pertinent records identified had been published in English or bilingually.

Full-length articles as well as abstracts (where no full length published article was identified) were eligible for inclusion. One reviewer (JAW) excluded studies judged on the basis of title and abstract to be clearly non-relevant according to pre-defined criteria (pre-1980; wrong country; case report; non-anthropological meaning of ‘indigenous’ such as indigenous botanical). Two reviewers (JMK and JAW) each screened the remaining titles and abstracts for relevance. Disagreements were resolved by consensus. Articles were excluded if Indigenous data were only included as baseline characteristics or had been combined with other minority ethnic groups, or if there were few (<10) Indigenous AF cases.

Data extraction

Article details were extracted independently by reviewers (JMK, T-HT, JAW) onto a predesigned spreadsheet template. Studies were grouped according to the type(s) of epidemiological data on AF presented. The validity of study hypotheses on epidemiological indices of Indigenous AF was assessed in applicable cases using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS), which awards up to 9 or 10 stars for quality, based upon assessment of sample selection and comparability, and exposure/outcome ascertainment [25]. Papers were categorised by type of epidemiological data provided.


Of 69 unique publications identified, 51 went to full review, of which 27 met the inclusion criteria (Fig. 1). The US and Australia contributed the majority, with descriptions of AF in clinical groups (50 %) and recent publications (2006 onwards) dominating (Table 1). In the majority of papers identified, either AF was incidental to the study rather than a core or major focus, or Indigenous data were incidental or uninterpretable due to insufficient subject numbers. In the interval between the database searches and manuscript completion, data from two of the identified abstracts [26, 27] and one report [28] were published as peer-reviewed journal articles and were updated as such in the review [2931].

Fig. 1
figure 1

Flowchart of search strategy and output

Table 1 Characteristics of publications retrieved—classified by country

Antecedents of AF

No studies were identified with data on the independent relationship of AF to antecedent lifestyle risk factors or medical conditions among Indigenous populations, or on Indigenous versus non-Indigenous differentials in this regard. The Strong Heart Study [11], a large US cohort restricted to Native American subjects followed up for 10 years, produced two abstracts investigating novel AF antecedents in this population (Table 2). Independent risk factors for new-onset AF were increasing age (HR = 1.08), male sex (HR = 1.67), C-reactive protein (HR = 1.44) [32], serum fibrinogen (HR = 1.31) [32], Left Ventricular Mass Index (HR = 1.31) [33], and Left ventricular ejection fraction (HR = 0.73) [33].

Table 2 Studies of antecedents and population-based occurrence of atrial fibrillation

Population-based epidemiological indices of AF


Two studies provided data on population-based AF hospitalised incidence among Indigenous peoples (Table 2). A Canadian study provided cohort data from the Ontario Métis Register linked with emergency department and hospital inpatient records. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence of AF per 100 persons (aged 20–105) was 0.62 (95 % confidence interval [CI] 0.50–0.73) in the Métis versus 0.32 (CI 0.32–0.32) in the general Ontario population (p < 0.001) [31]. Individuals identified in the register constituted only 18 % of Ontarian Métis, and may not have been representative of the provincial Métis population. Additionally, the number of incident AF cases was very small (n = 56). A Western Australian (WA) study using linked inpatient and mortality records provided estimates for different age and sex groups, highlighting the greater disparities in younger adults [30]. At all age groups under 65 years, Aboriginal rates were significantly higher than non-Aboriginal rates. Among adults aged 20–54 years, the age-standardised rate ratios (ASRRs) for incident (hospitalised) AF were 3.6 in males and 6.4 in females; in the 55–84 year age group, ASRRs were 1.3 and 1.8 respectively. AF was more likely in Aboriginal than among non-Aboriginal people to be an emergency admission and a diagnosis secondary to another principal diagnosis (mainly other CVD). Additionally, case complexity as reflected in co-morbidity profile was greater in Aboriginal patients. Both publications relied on hospital data only, thus not capturing incident cases in the community.


Among the studies that investigated AF prevalence in Indigenous versus other racial groups (Table 2), only one (from the US) provided whole-of-nation comparative data [34]. In this large study (total subjects n = 664,754; Native American n = 27,697), based on data linked between two national Veterans Health Administration administrative databases and a mailed questionnaire survey, the age-adjusted prevalence of AF was similar among White (5.7 %) and Native American (5.4 %) males. Subjects included in these estimates were those who responded to the survey (response 67 % Whites, 55 % Native Americans). After multivariate adjustment for age, body-mass index (BMI) and predisposing comorbidities, AF was less prevalent among Native American than White adult males (adjusted odds ratio White versus Native Americans: 1.15; CI 1.04-1.27).

The Ontario Métis Register provided data derived from emergency department (ED) and hospital databases on AF prevalence among Ontarians [31]. The reported age- and sex-adjusted prevalence of AF in subjects 20 years and over was 2.08 (CI 1.82–2.34) per 100 persons in the Métis, versus 1.42 (CI 1.41–1.43) in the general Ontarian population (p <0.001). However, these data are difficult to interpret as the basis for measuring prevalence was not clearly defined, and information on out-of-hospital cases was lacking.

Two peer-reviewed journal papers based on the Heart of the Heart Study [35, 36] reported data on AF prevalence in three central Australian Indigenous communities, providing no comparative data. This cross-sectional study was designed to investigate the burden and correlates of cardiovascular and other diseases in a representative sample of community dwelling adults. The study incorporated detailed clinical and diagnostic cardiovascular assessment of 436 volunteer subjects. The crude reported prevalence of AF was 2.5 %; this predictably rose with age. Caveats on the interpretation of these estimates include the small number of subjects and the unknown representativeness of the sample in relation to the communities.

Prevalence data of AF from separate cohort studies among Indigenous (Māori) communities from NZ were reported in two conference abstracts. Firstly, in data from the Hauora Manawa Project, randomly selected community-based samples, each comprising about 250 individuals from two Māori Communities (one rural and one urban), were compared with an urban non-Māori community [37]. The reported crude AF prevalence was higher in both Māori communities (2 % and 1.2 % respectively) than among the non-Māori subjects (0.4 %). The other abstract reported AF frequency among 937 octagenarian subjects (421 Māori, 516 non- Māori) [38]. AF was more common among Māori (30 %) than non-Māori participants (21 %).

Life-time risk

No publications provided data on life-time risk of AF among the Indigenous populations of the selected countries.

Hospital admission rates

No peer-reviewed publications were identified with population-based data on AF-related overall hospital admission frequency according to Indigenous status. The only whole-jurisdictional administrative data on Indigenous AF admissions were those reported from the NZ National Minimum Dataset where the age-standardised rate of hospital discharges in 2001–02 among Māori was almost twice that among non-Māori (104 per 100,000 vs 57 per 100,000, p < 0.05) [39]. These data were unlinked, precluding person-level analysis of admission patterns. Publications from the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare report unlinked data on hospitalisations for CVD and do not distinguish AF from other cardiac conditions in relation to Indigenous hospitalisations [40].

Outcomes in AF patients

Three publications, two from North America and one from Australia, provided data on outcomes among Indigenous patients hospitalised with AF (Table 3). In the study on CVDs among the Métis Nation of Ontario, age- and sex-standardised all-cause mortality (n = 6 Métis deaths) at one year following incident AF admission or emergency presentation was 2.1 times higher among Métis than the general Ontarian population (p = 0.06; borderline significance). There was no significant difference in disease-specific hospitalisations in the first year after incident diagnosis (rates age- and sex-standardised to those of general Ontarian population 1.23 (CI 0.73-2.08, p = 0.44) [31]. A US study based on the 2008 Nationwide Inpatient Sample, which provides data on all discharges from approximately 1000 hospitals, investigated in-hospital mortality of patients with a primary discharge diagnosis of AF [41]. Native Americans accounted for 0.75 % of the sample of 425,470 hospitalisations. The odds ratio for in-hospital mortality following admissions of Native American versus White, adjusted for age, sex and comorbidities, was 0.732 (CI 0.227–2.358, p = 0.30). Limitations of the database precluded a person-based analysis that could track readmissions.

Table 3 Studies of atrial fibrillation outcomes

In the Western Australian study based on linked hospitalisation and mortality records [30], there was a cross-over of early survival, with 30-day adjusted mortality tending to be lower (not significant) in Aboriginal than non-Aboriginal patients in their first-ever AF admission. However, the adjusted hazard ratio for one-year mortality in Aboriginal versus non-Aboriginal 30-day survivors was 1.58. Comorbidities and a secondary diagnosis of AF, both more common in Aboriginal patients, were strong independent predictors of mortality. Comorbidities contributed substantially to the attenuation of effect in adjusted models.

AF as a complication

A single study from the USA investigated the influence of ethnicity on the likelihood of AF as a post-operative outcome of coronary artery bypass surgery (Table 3). In this single tertiary referral hospital study, Native Americans constituted only 0.2 % of the total sample of 5823. In crude comparison, new-onset post-operative AF occurred in 18.8 % of Native Americans (mean age 61 years) versus 32.4 % of Causasians (mean age 65) [42].

AF in clinical groups

Although studies with data on the occurrence of AF in specific clinical groups accounted for the majority of publications identified, AF was not usually the primary research focus (Table 4). Most were conducted in hospital settings and provided crude prevalence data only.

Table 4 Studies of frequency of atrial fibrillation in clinical groups

Frequency of atrial fibrillation in primary care consultations

Only a single Australian report provided data on the comparative frequency of AF among Indigenous versus non-Indigenous patients in primary care consultations. The Bettering the Evaluation and Care of Health (BEACH) survey provides written questionnaire data provided by a random sample of general practitioners (GPs) across Australia [40]. In the period 2006–7 to 2011–12, participating GPs reported managing AF during 38 ‘Indigenous’ and 5548 ‘Other’ consultations, reflecting an age-standardised Indigenous:non-Indigenous rate ratio of 1.3 (p = NS). Authors of the report suggested that the Indigenous identity of patients had likely been underestimated, making interpretation of the finding problematic.

Frequency of atrial fibrillation in hospital admissions

Data on the frequency of AF-coded admissions among hospitalised Indigenous versus non-Indigenous patients were recently published in a large single-institution South Australian study that reported on 204,668 admissions (5,892 Indigenous [3.6 %]) to a tertiary referral centre during the decade 2000–2009 [29]. Indigenous subjects with AF were substantially younger on average than their non-Indigenous counterparts (55.4 years versus 74.5 years). Among admitted patients aged <60 years, the proportion of AF diagnosed was considerably higher among Indigenous patients (2.7 % vs 1.7 %, p < 0.0001), while these proportions were reversed in patients ≥60 years (4.61 % vs 9.26 %, p < 0.0001). Interpretation of these single institution data is difficult as no population denominator was provided. Furthermore, the (unlinked) data did not allow differentiation of initial and repeat admissions.

Frequency of atrial fibrillation in specific diagnostic groups

(a) Heart failure. Two cohort studies based on whole-jurisdictional linked administrative data comparing heart failure (HF) in Indigenous and non-Indigenous adult subjects (≥20 years) included AF frequency among the reported baseline characteristics. In a cohort study from Alberta Canada, Lyons et al. undertook a study of mortality outcomes among patients hospitalised with incident HF, based on linked inpatient, emergency department, ambulatory care and insurance registry datasets. They reported a crude baseline prevalence of AF as a comorbidity of HF in 18 % in Aboriginal patients versus 34 % in ‘Whites’ (p < 0.0001) [43]. Importantly, however, this comparison was confounded by age (baseline mean age [years]: Aboriginal 63; White 75). In a Western Australian cohort study investigating first HF hospitalisation in Aboriginal versus non-Aboriginal patients, baseline crude prevalence of AF was significantly lower among Aboriginal patients in both younger and older age strata (20–54 years: Aboriginal 17.2 %, non-Aboriginal 26.6 % [p < 0.001]; 55–84 years: Aboriginal 24.6 %, non-Aboriginal = 44.9 % [p < 0.001]) [44].

(b) Ischaemic heart disease. No recent studies were found that provided data on AF among Indigenous patients with ischaemic heart disease (IHD). A single descriptive study from NZ investigated the clinical characteristics of patients admitted with IHD to the Coronary Care Unit of a single non-urban hospital during the period 1971–1980 [45]. AF was detected in 39 % of Māori and 6 % of non-Māori cases in crude comparison.

(c) Renal failure. Two articles used the United States Renal Data System to report on the epidemiology of AF among dialysis patients with end-stage renal failure. In 2006, the odds ratio for prevalent AF among Native Americans (n = 3332, 1.7 % of total) compared with Caucasian, after multivariate adjustment for age, gender, Medicaid coverage and comorbidities, was 0.55 (CI 0.48-0.63) [46]. Similarly, in longitudinal analysis of older patients (≥67 years) initiating dialysis (total n = 258 605, Native Americans ~1 %), the incidence rate of new AF was 42 % lower among Native American than Caucasian subjects (demographics- and comorbidity-adjusted hazard ratio 0.58 [0.53–0.63]) [47].

Data on baseline AF prevalence were reported from a single hospital haemodialysis unit in Auckland, NZ, in a cohort study investigating the risks and benefits of anticoagulation among haemodialysis patients with AF [48]. The crude AF prevalence was 29 % in Māori (n = 8/28) versus 33 % (19/58) in Caucasian subjects, with no data on age distribution according to ethnicity reported.

(d) Stroke. A whole-jurisdictional study of disparities in stroke prevalence between Indigenous and non-Indigenous Western Australians (2007–2011) reported the proportion of stroke patients with a history of AF determined by International Classification of Disease (ICD)-coded hospital diagnoses with 20-year lookback period [49]. The proportion of Indigenous stroke patients with an AF diagnosis was higher in all age-groups below 70 years, although the age-standardised proportions were similar in both ethnicity categories.

In paired cross-sectional studies from Hawaii, racial disparities were investigated among patients admitted with intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) and those with ischaemic stroke. In patients with ICH (n = 562 cases), the crude frequency of AF among Native Hawaiians categorised together with other Pacific Islanders (NHPI) was 10 %, compared with 12 % in Asians and 17 % in Whites (p = NS) [50]. Notably, NHPI with ICH were significantly younger than whites (55 vs 66 years). In patients with ischaemic stroke (n = 1921 cases), there was similarly no significant difference in the crude frequencies of AF at baseline between NHPI and other ethnic groups, but confounding by age was evident [51].

(e) Rheumatic heart disease. Two Australian studies provided data on AF among Indigenous subjects with rheumatic heart disease (RHD), but in neither of these was AF an outcome investigated. In a series of 327 patients (36 Indigenous) undergoing percutaneous balloon mitral commissurotomy, the measured difference in AF frequency between the two groups at baseline (44 % non-Indigenous; 29 % Indigenous) was not significant [52]. However, the average age of non-Indigenous subjects was substantially higher (52 versus 36 years). Similarly, a lower crude frequency of AF among Indigenous versus non-Indigenous RHD valvular surgery patients (33.3 % versus 41.6 % p = 0.039) reported from an Australia-wide cardiothoracic surgical database (n = 1384 subjects) is difficult to interpret, given the marked age difference between groups [53].

(f) Other cardiac surgery. Based on a study using the Manitoba Provincial Cardiac Surgery registry, the crude frequency of AF between Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal aged over 15 years who had undergone cardiovascular surgery during 1995–2007 did not differ significantly (10.1 % versus 12.0 %; p = 0.142) [54]. This result did not account for the significant difference in mean age between the two ethnic groups.

(g) Paediatric AF. In a descriptive review of outcomes of cardiac surgery at a single tertiary institution in Australia, of all Indigenous paediatric patients (0–17 years) who had cardiac surgery performed in the period 2002–2009 (112 patients, 123 operations), ‘new atrial arrhythmia’ developed as a post-operative in-hospital complication in 2.4 % of cases [55]. A retrospective single-institution study from Auckland, NZ investigating pre-operative determinants of long-term survival following cardiac surgery for RHD was reported in an abstract only. Māori and Pacific Islander children accounted for 98 % of the cohort (n = 212); pre-operative AF was an independent predictor of mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 5.2; p < 0.01) [56].

Health service provision

Only the study from Ontario on the Métis population provided data on health service provision for Indigenous AF, but numbers were small. The crude proportion of patients receiving outpatient echocardiography within 6 months of incident AF diagnosis was 52.9 % in the the Métis (n = 56 incident cases) compared with 42.1 % in the general Ontarian population (p = 0.12) [31]. No meaningful data on receipt of evidence-based medications were identified for any of the Indigenous populations.


Principal findings

Published data on AF in Indigenous populations in the affluent countries included in this review are scanty, fragmentary and of varying quality, with a minority subjected to peer-review. Aside from the potential for real differences in AF epidemiology among Indigenous populations between and within countries, study comparability is limited by differences in quality, design, analytical methods (including means of identifying Indigenous subjects and covariate adjustments), setting (community versus hospital) and calendar time frame.

In consequence, the epidemiology of AF in these populations remains inadequately delineated, with no clear pattern emerging. However, both linked and unlinked administrative hospital data from Canada [28], Australia [29, 30], and NZ [39] suggest that hospitalised AF is more common at younger ages in Indigenous people, with higher first-ever AF hospitalisations in WA (notably under 65 years) and Ontario possibly reflecting disparities in population-based incidence. Concordant with these findings, small studies from Canada and NZ suggest higher AF prevalence among Métis and Māori respectively than the non-Indigenous comparator populations. In contrast, the significantly lower nationwide prevalence of AF among Native Americans than Whites reported in the US study of male military veterans, which incorporated both hospitalisation and ambulatory care data, suggest that higher AF occurrence in Indigenous populations may not apply in the US. Although no difference in short-term (30-day) post-admission mortality was found in the WA cohort, one-year mortality was higher among both WA Aboriginal patients and Ontarian Métis than among the respective comparator populations.

The major antecedents of AF traverse the ‘epidemiological transition’ [57], encompassing sequelae of infectious disease (with streptococcal infection underlying RHD) as well as non-communicable diseases (particularly hypertension and coronary atherothrombosis). As a generalisation, all of these occur in excess and at younger ages among Indigenous peoples, in both North America and Australasia [5862]. Accordingly, the occurrence of AF would be expected to be correspondingly increased in these populations once age has been accounted for. However, the epidemiological pattern of these disparities is complex, varying among the specific disorders as well as within and between different countries, in magnitude and secular trends. Epidemiological surveillance of Indigenous populations for these underlying disorders remains suboptimal, partly because of inadequate Indigenous identifiers in routinely collected data, particularly in North America.

Unexpectedly, studies of AF frequency among ethnic minority groups such as African Americans, Hispanics and Europeans of African, Afro-Caribbean or Indo-Asian ancestry suggest a ‘racial paradox’, i.e., that the condition is unexpectedly less common among these minority populations than Whites, despite the major risk factors generally being present in excess [63, 64]. The US study of male veterans included in this review suggests that this phenomenon may extend to Native Americans. However, the findings of this study may not be generalisable to the whole US population, insofar as military recruitment is characterised by over-representation of lower socioeconomic strata and so may be disproportionately unrepresentative of the majority ‘White’ population, with under-participation of the most affluent. Recuitment also excludes persons with certain pre-existing health problems (such as congenital or rheumatic cardiac lesions predisposing to AF) and may represent a ‘healthy worker’ effect with those of poorer health not meeting enlistment criteria. Moreover, as outlined in a review of AF and race, ‘[u]nder-ascertainment and differential mortality may partially contribute towards the apparent lower burden of AF [reported] in racial and ethnic minorities’ [63]. No other published data elucidate the relative frequency of AF in the Native American population, despite the substantial research profile of Indigenous CVD in the US, notably that arising from the Strong Heart Study cohort, ‘the largest epidemiologic study of American Indians ever undertaken’ [65].

The available evidence suggests that the ‘paradox’ does not apply to Indigenous minorities in Canada, Australia and NZ and that AF frequency is increased among the Indigenous peoples of these countries, at least at younger ages. However, in interpreting hospitalisation data upon which the largest studies are based, it is important to recognise that frequency of first hospitalisation is not equivalent to incidence rate in a population. Hospitalisations are influenced by health-seeking behaviour and the quality of health care such that disparities between ethnic groups in access to care modify the likelihood of admission. Firstly, inadequate AF management in primary care—including tardy detection—may increase the likelihood of preventable hospitalisation and also skew the spectrum of hospitalised cases towards greater severity, due to poor control of the arrhythmia or associated conditions (such as heart failure) and complications (particularly stroke). Conversely, poor access to hospital care may diminish elective admissions for AF and associated morbidities. In order to establish the true incidence rate of the condition in a population, community-based, longitudinal cohort studies incorporating active surveillance are required. No study of this kind is available for the Indigenous peoples considered.

While a focus on inequities in social determinants and service provision is necessarily paramount in explaining the poorer health of Indigenous peoples, there is a possibility of inter-ethnic variation in genetic predisposition to specific disorders. In relation to AF, a lower prevalence among African Americans compared with Caucasians, despite the more common occurrence of major risk factors in the former, appears to be partly attributable to genetic factors [64, 66]. The extent to which genetic variation modulates AF risk among diverse Indigenous peoples has not been investigated.

Disease outcome indices such as mortality and readmission rates are determined by both disease severity and quality of health service provision during and/or after hospitalisation. Rates for early mortality (30-day mortality among Western Australians following an AF admission and in-hospital mortality among US subjects admitted with AF) were not increased among Indigenous subjects, suggesting that they receive adequate in-hospital care. The data from Western Australia and Ontario reporting relatively high 1-year mortality following an AF hospitalisation could reflect greater severity of disease and/or poorer post-discharge management.

In view of the scanty data, publications were included in this review if they reported Indigenous versus non-Indigenous comparative AF frequency in specific clinical groups. The search results were dominated by these publications. Although several high quality cohort studies were identified, in most cases the principal hypotheses were unrelated to AF, and the AF data were limited to baseline crude frequencies in patient subgroups, including comparisons between Indigenous and other ethnic groups. These data add little to the picture of AF epidemiology in Indigenous populations, except that they demonstrate that AF is characteristically a subsidiary consideration in clinical research, investigated in relation to comorbidities contributing to the clinical complexity of patients rather than examined in its own right. Such data are difficult to interpret, particularly because of the potential for substantial confounding by age and severity of underlying illness. An exception was a stroke prevalence study, showing higher proportions of AF comorbidity in Aboriginal Australians at all ages under 70 years [49]. Of note, age-standardisation did not adequately correct for age differences in that study.

Optimal clinical management of AF is predicated on access to high-quality health care, in relation to which Indigenous populations in general are demonstrably disadvantaged [67, 68]. There is essentially no published evidence on equity of health services provision for AF in these populations although evidence from other cardiometabolic conditions suggests that they are likely to have higher rates of comorbidities that complicate their condition and management [69]. Besides the Ontario paper’s crude comparison of receipt of echocardiography [31], our literature search identified a near absence of data on AF management in Indigenous people. In the broader population, barriers to optimal therapy of AF include underdiagnosis, underestimation of its prognostic severity, inadequate implementation of evidence-based therapeutic guidelines, limited access to care, and inadequate adherence to prescribed treatment [70]. These barriers are likely to be amplified among disadvantaged, marginalised groups such as Indigenous people [71]. AF is especially susceptible to under-diagnosis, given its propensity to be asymptomatic or to manifest with non-specific features, with a substantial proportion of strokes attributable to unrecognised AF [72]. Of particular concern are the many undiagnosed AF patients for whom long-term anticoagulant medication is necessary in order to prevent thromboembolic disease. Notably, since our literature search was performed, a large single-institution South Australian series of patients with known AF (n = 19613 patients; 308 Indigenous) documented that guideline-determined underuse and overuse of anticoagulant medications were both significantly more common (ORs 1.27 and 1.60 respectively) among Indigenous than non-Indigenous patients [73]. In general terms, the socio-economic and environmental factors predisposing Indigenous peoples to conditions associated with AF are also likely to compromise its clinical management [74].

Strengths and limitations

This scoping review contributes to a genre that brings together research on the health of Indigenous minorities living in affluent countries [8, 7578]. Its strengths include an exhaustive search of established databases, efforts to access the grey literature and appraisal of study quality to provide an overview of existing research into AF in Indigenous peoples of the selected countries. The principal limitation of the review was the need to frame its design as a scoping study without a focussed research question, based on anticipation of scanty published data. Furthermore, there are unavoidable trade-offs in the exhaustive approach to literature searching that extends beyond indexed academic databases. Although Google Scholar allows searching the full text of publications, thereby allowing recognition of data that may not be identified through subject headings keywords, titles and abstracts, this interface has less sophisticated functionality for systematic searching than traditional databases [79]. Furthermore, the ‘grey’ literature such as government websites is characterised by inconsistent quality by virtue of the absence of peer review, as well as poor searchability given the diversity of formats, the absence of controlled vocabulary indexing, and sheer volume [80]. The NOS used to appraise the quality of studies of non-randomised design is limited by subjectivity, as demonstrated by high inter-observer variation [81].


Accurate epidemiological data are a prerequisite to optimising the equity and efficiency of service provision for CVD among Indigenous people. AF is an eminently treatable condition. Timely detection of AF is necessary, firstly to maximise the chances of reversing to normal sinus rhythm if practicable, usually accompanied by addressing the underlying cause, and secondly to institute pharmacological management to reduce to the likelihood of potentially life-threatening complications. Relative underdetection and consequent skewing of hospital presentations are obstacles to quantifying the comparative frequency of AF in these populations satisfactorily [30, 63]. Furthermore, the reduced life expectancies of Indigenous populations alter the age structure, requiring cautious interpretation of disparities in rates: conventional age standardisation and age-adjustments may not adequately control for age differences between Indigenous and non-Indigenous populations [49]. The small numbers of people belonging to Indigenous minorities also create challenges in making meaningful rate comparisons between groups within small age bands.

It is crucial that health systems in jurisdictions with Indigenous minorities incorporate data on Indigenous identity in routinely collected administrative health surveillance data from primary health care and hospitals [82, 83]. Optimally, sophisticated data linkage systems are needed to facilitate person-based (rather than merely event-based) surveillance measures, in order to identify incident cases, distinguish re-presentations/re-admissions and determine outcomes. The inclusion of AF in the conditions reported in government publications could begin to elucidate existing disparities and increase attention on the need for effective interventions. Additionally, there is an urgent need for sufficiently powered, community-based studies of AF epidemiology in diverse Indigenous populations that incorporate active case-finding and have a valid comparator population.



Atrial fibrillation


Age-standardised rate ratio


Bettering the Evaluation and Care of Health


Body- mass index


Confidence interval


Cardiovascular disease


Emergency department


General practitioner


Heart failure


Hazard ratio


International Classification of Disease


Intracranial haemorrhage


Ischaemic heart disease


Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander


Newcastle-Ottawa Scale


New Zealand


Rheumatic heart disease


United States


Western Australia


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This work was supported by the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia (NHMRC) (Grant Number 1031057). JMK is funded by an NHMRC Early Career Fellowship (Number 037429). The Western Australian Centre for Rural Health receives funding from the Commonwealth Department of Health and Ageing.

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Correspondence to John A. Woods.

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The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Authors’ contributions

JMK conceived the study. JAW undertook the literature searches which were planned with the involvement of all authors. All authors participated in screening retrieved publications for relevance, and in extracting and tabulating data from included publications. JMK and JAW drafted the manuscript. All authors reviewed and revised the manuscript and have approved the final version.

Judith M. Katzenellenbogen and John A. Woods contributed equally to this work.

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Additional file 1: Table S1.

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Katzenellenbogen, J.M., Woods, J.A., Teng, TH.K. et al. Atrial fibrillation in the Indigenous populations of Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and the United States: a systematic scoping review. BMC Cardiovasc Disord 15, 87 (2015).

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  • Atrial Fibrillation
  • Indigenous People
  • Indigenous Population
  • Rheumatic Heart Disease
  • Indigenous Patient