Time | Risk scores | Training set | Validation set | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AUC | 95% CI | P value | AUC | 95% CI | P value | ||
6 months | Nomogram | 0.712 | 0.621–0.803 | Ref | 0.811 | 0.730–0.891 | Ref |
 | CADILLAC score | 0.674 | 0.582–0.766 | 0.2840 | 0.715 | 0.605–0.825 | 0.0044 |
 | GRACE score | 0.653 | 0.556–0.751 | 0.1519 | 0.75 | 0.659–0.842 | 0.0351 |
1 year | Nomogram | 0.741 | 0.665–0.817 | Ref | 0.818 | 0.739–0.897 | Ref |
 | CADILLAC score | 0.699 | 0.622–0.775 | 0.1670 | 0.725 | 0.617–0.833 | 0.0043 |
 | GRACE score | 0.662 | 0.578–0.746 | 0.0360 | 0.761 | 0.672–0.850 | 0.0390 |
4 years | Nomogram | 0.762 | 0.692–0.831 | Ref | 0.724 | 0.631–0.816 | Ref |
 | CADILLAC score | 0.572 | 0.496–0.648 | < 0.0001 | 0.629 | 0.534–0.724 | 0.0024 |
 | GRACE score | 0.629 | 0.549–0.710 | 0.0003 | 0.622 | 0.522–0.722 | 0.0209 |