| Per person | Total population |
---|
Estimated chancea
| EVPIb
| Estimated number | Population EVPIb
|
---|
QALYs | NMB | QALYs | NMB |
---|
Baseline agec
|
 20 yrs | 10.5% | 0.0849 | €12,795 | 420 | 35.7 | €5,373,900 |
 30 yrs | 20% | 0.0467 | €8311 | 800 | 37.4 | €6,648,800 |
 40 yrs | 49% | 0.0219 | €4430 | 1960 | 42.9 | €8,682,800 |
 50 yrs | 20.5% | 0.0076 | €1710 | 820 | 6.2 | €1,402,200 |
Total | 100% | 0.0305 | €5527 | 4000 | 122.2 | €22,107,700 |
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aRepresents the chance that the female patient with atrial fibrillation belongs to the respective age category
-
bExpected value of perfect information, which equals the outcomes (in terms of QALYs or NMB) when making treatment decisions under perfect information, subtracted with the outcomes when making decisions under current uncertainty. The EVPI consequently also equals the maximum value of information that can be gained with further research
-
cWe assumed that the probability of having suffered a previous stroke increases with age: 0.5% in women aged 20; 1% in women aged 30; 2% in women aged 40; and 5% in women aged 50Â years