Development of an Australian cardiovascular disease mortality risk score using multiple imputation and recalibration from national statistics

Table 3 Predicted five-year risks per thousand for ‘average’ men and women, who do/do not smoke or have diabetes, according to the primary and recalibrated Australian risk scores and the SCORE results for low- and high-risk European populations

Risks are for subjects at mean values of continuous risk factors in the 2011–13 Australian Health Survey [12], obtained from the Australian Bureau of Statistics: age 55–59 years, systolic blood pressure = 131.8 mmHg, total cholesterol = 5.25 mmol/l, HDL-cholesterol = 1.24 mmol/l, eGFR = 85.0 (ml/min/m²), eGFR squared = 7197 (ml/min/m²)² and SEIFA fifth = 3.01985
SCORE values are computed from published 10-year risks [15] using ‘compound interest’ logic. SCORE only takes account of age, sex, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol and smoking
^a SCORE does not include diabetes as a risk factor. The user instructions [15] say that those with diabetes are ‘at very high risk’ which presumably means their predicted 5-year risk is at least 30 per thousand

ISSN: 1471-2261