Event type | Cumulative rate (years) | Transition probability (range) | Distribution | References |
---|---|---|---|---|
CVD | 0.0625 (10) | 0.00643 | No change | By design |
Revascularization | 0.0625 (10) | 0.00643 | No change | Derived from CVD (above) and MI, stroke and revascularization rate in JUPITER, Ridker et al. NEJM 2008 [11] |
MI |  | 0.0037 (±20%) | β | Ridker et al. NEJM 2008 [11] |
Stroke |  | 0.0034 (±20%) | β | Ridker et al. NEJM 2008 [11] |
Revascularization |  | 0.0071 (±20%) | β | Ridker et al. NEJM 2008 [11] |
Recurrent MI | 0.144 (7) | 0.022 (±20%) | β | Cannon et al. NEJM 2015 [13] |
MI post stroke |  | 0.0074 (±20%) | β | Greisenegger et al. Stroke 2015 [14] |
Recurrent stroke |  | 0.023 (±20%) | β | Greisenegger et al. Stroke 2015 [14] |
CVD post CABG | 0.269 CVD (5) 0.114 mortality (5) | 0.0377 (±20%) | β | Mohr et al. Lancet 2013 [12] |
CVD post PCI | 0.373 CVD (5) 0.139 mortality (5) | 0.0615 (±20%) | β | Mohr et al. Lancet 2013 [12] |
Death post MI | 0.222 (7) | 0.0352 (±20%) | β | Cannon et al. NEJM 2015 [13] |
Death post-stroke |  | 0.0649 (±20%) | β | Greisenegger et al. Stroke 2015 [14] |
Death post CABG | 0.114 (5) | 0.0239 (±20%) | β | Mohr et al. Lancet 2013 [12] |
Death post PCI | 0.139 (5) | 0.0295 (±20%) | β | Mohr et al. Lancet 2013 [12] |
Death post multiple CVD |  | 0.1 (±20%) | β | Law et al. Arch Int Med 2002 [15] |
Death post severe adverse event |  | 0.09 (±20%) | β | Lee et al. Circulation 2010 [32] |
Diabetes from high-intensity statin |  | 0.003 (±20%) | β | Stone et al. Circulation 2014 [4] |
Diabetes from moderate-intensity statin |  | 0.001 (±20%) | β | Stone et al. Circulation 2014 [4] |
Mild adverse events from statin |  | 0.056 (0.0001–0.175) | β | Kashani et al. Circulation 2006 [41] |
Severe adverse events from statin |  | 0.0001 (±20%) | β | Stone et al. Circulation 2014 [4] |