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Table 1 Comparison between projected numbers of CARPs (2001-2010) based on linear, incidence(1), incidence(2), incidence(3) and incidence(4) scenarios

From: Using a Markov simulation model to assess the impact of changing trends in coronary heart disease incidence on requirements for coronary artery revascularization procedures in Western Australia

Total event

Base scenario

Modified(1) scenario

Modified(2) Scenario

Modified(3) Scenario

Modified(4) Scenario

CABG

10084

10181

10306

10426

12621

% change

from linear

extrapolation

---

0.96

2.20

3.39

25.16

PCI

26757

26333

27975

28174

30483

% change

from linear

extrapolation

 

-1.58

4.55

5.30

13.93