Table 2 Outcomes of Monte Carlo simulations
Parameter | Without POC troponin (95% CI) | With POC troponin (95% CI) | Absolute effect (POC vs. non-POC) (95% CI) | Relative effect (POC vs. non-POC) (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Primary care costs per patient | €290.52 (€188.99 to €421.09) | €262.10 (€173.63 to €375.33) | €-28.41 (€-50.38 to €-12.23) | −9.78% (−13.36% to −5.75%) |
Hospital costs per patient | €446.00 (€307.80 to €620.41) | €398.38 (€277.19 to €551.81) | €-47.62 (€-77.28 to €-25.85) | −10.68% (−14.27% to −7.12%) |
Lifetime costs per patient | €377.55 (€242.56 to €554.17) | €384.13 (€245.85 to €565.96) | €6.58 (€-17.25 to €33.47) | 1.74% (−4.49% to 8.86%) |
Costs of productivity loss per patient | €106.87 (€64.71 to €169.27) | €99.07 (€59.52 to €160.09) | €-7.80 (€-18.76 to €2.58) | −7.30% (−16.94% to 2.70%) |
Total costs per patient | €1220.94 (€955.23 to €1540.85) | €1143.68 (€891.74 to €1451.12) | € -77.25 (€-126.81 to €-33.37) | −6.33% (−9.80% to −2.85%) |
Quality adjusted life expectancy | 11.29 (9.41 to 13.33) | 11.29 (9.41 to 13.33) | −0.00 (−0.00 to 0.00) | −0.00% (−0.02% to 0.01%) |
Probability TP | 3.42% (2.47% to 4.53%) | 3.37% (2.44% to 4.47%) | −0.05% (−0.15% to 0.06%) | −1.37% (−4.08% to 1.64%) |
Probability FP | 38.46% (33.97% to 45.00%) | 31.85% (28.29% to 38.70%) | −6.61% (−8.30% to −4.99%) | −17.19% (−20.86% to −12.66%) |
Probability TN | 57.90% (51.52% to 62.38%) | 64.51% (57.82% to 68.14%) | 6.61% (4.99% to 8.30%) | 11.42% (8.34% to 15.06%) |
Probability FN | 0.22% (0.08% to 0.46%) | 0.27% (0.14% to 0.46%) | 0.05% (−0.06% to 0.15%) | 20.91% (−15.72% to 135.02%) |
Probability death | 0.30% (0.19% to 0.45%) | 0.30% (0.19% to 0.46%) | 0.00% (−0.01% to 0.03%) | 1.53% (−4.11% to 9.30%) |
Probability HF | 0.59% (0.40% to 0.83%) | 0.60% (0.41% to 0.84%) | 0.01% (−0.03% to 0.05%) | 1.85% (−4.24% to 8.91%) |