Health state | Secondary event | Probability of later event | Comment | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Value | Low | High | |||
Post AMI | AMI* | 3.05 | 1.47 | 4,60 | DANAMI-2 [25] |
Post AMI | Angina* | 21.7 | 15.8 | 27.6 | Zijlstra [20] |
Post AMI | Dying (30-59 years)* | 3.55 | |||
Post AMI | Dying (60-69 years)* | 2.36 | |||
Post AMI | Dying (70 years or more)* | 1.00 | |||
Post AMI | Stroke* | 2.77 | 2.08 | 3.47 | Zijlstra [20] |
Post angina | AMI (men) | 3.88 | 2.24 | 5.60 | OPTIMAAL [26] |
Post angina | AMI (women) | 1.17 | 0.76 | 1.59 | OPTIMAAL [26] |
Post angina | Angina* | 11.32 | 8.30 | 14.29 | Assumed to be half of the probability first year, SMM-report nr 5/2002 [27] |
Post angina | Death | 1.23 | 0.82 | 1.65 | Assumed to be half of the probability first year, SMM-report nr 5/2002 [27] |
Post angina | Stroke (men) | 5,34 | NOKC-report nr 8/2004 [28] | ||
Post angina | Stroke (women) | 5,26 | |||
Post stroke | AMI | 3.51 | 1.78 | 5.33 | Risks based on relationship between angina and well first year after angina |
Post stroke | Death | 4.91 | 3.86 | 5.97 | Risks based on relationship between angina and well first year after angina |
Post stroke | Stroke | 2.82 | 1.81 | 3.48 | van Wijk [30] |
Heart failure | dying 2nd year after HF (women) | 6.67 | 6.16 | 11.04 | |
Heart failure | dying 3rd year after HF (women) | 7.61 | 5.08 | 10.15 | van Wijk [30] |
Heart failure | dying later years after HF (women) | 2.45 | 0.90 | 4.00 | Rosolova, Euroheart 2 [14] |
Heart failure | dying 2nd year after HF (men) | 5.05 | 3.24 | 6.86 | Rosolova, Euroheart 2 [14] |
Heart failure | dying 3rd year after HF (men) | 4.62 | 2.90 | 6.33 | |
Heart failure | dying later years after HF (men) | 2.13 | 0.96 | 3.31 | Rosolova, Euroheart 2 [14] |
Heart failure | Stroke* | 6.80 | 3.40 | 13.61 | Rosolova, Euroheart 2 [14] |
Heart failure | Worsening of HF | 9.58 | 9.04 | 10.13 | |
Heart failure | AMI after HF (men) | 1.5 | 0.6 | 3.8 | |
Heart failure | AMI after HF (women) | 4.1 | 1.8 | 9.3 | Cleland, Euroheart [15] |
Moderate stroke sequelae | AMI | 4.41 | 3.32 | 5.28 | Based on Mosterd et.al. [34] |
Moderate stroke sequelae | heart failure | 2 | 1 | 4 | Based on Mosterd et.al. [34] |
Moderate stroke sequelae | New stroke | 4.30 | 3.92 | 4.62 | Based on meta-regression from Touzé et.al. [35] |
Moderate stroke sequelae | Dying | 2 | 1.5 | 2.5 | Expert opinion (ISK) |
Severe stroke sequelae | Dying | 3 | 2.25 | 3.75 |